World meat production in 2016 forecast at 320.7 million tonnes carcase weight equivalent, will show little change from last year, according to the latest Food Outlook Report from the Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO). Industry analyst Terry Evans reports.
However, while the anticipated growth for all meats is a meagre 0.3 per cent, poultry meat output is expected to rise by more than 1 per cent to a record high of 116.2 million tonnes. In contrast, production of pig meat is expected to decline by 0.7 per cent to 116.4 million tonnes, just edging out poultry from the number one spot by a mere 200,000 tonnes (table 1).
| Table 1. World meat market (million tonnes). | ||||
| 2014 | 2015e | 2016f | % change (2016/2015) | |
| Production | 315.4 | 319.6 | 320.7 | 0.3 |
| Bovine meat | 68.0 | 67.9 | 68.4 | 0.8 |
| Poultry meat | 111.0 | 114.9 | 116.2 | 1.1 |
| Pig meat | 116.9 | 117.2 | 116.4 | -0.7 |
| Ovine meat | 13.9 | 14.0 | 14.1 | 0.7 |
| Trade | 30.6 | 29.8 | 30.6 | 2.8 |
| Bovine meat | 9.6 | 9.1 | 9.3 | 1.3 |
| Poultry meat | 12.8 | 12.3 | 12.7 | 3.5 |
| Pig meat | 7.0 | 7.2 | 7.5 | 4.4 |
| Ovine meat | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 | -3.2 |
| e estimate, f forecast | ||||
| Source: FAO | ||||
Increases in poultry meat output are expected in the US, Brazil, the EU, India and Russia while lower production is forecast for China, Australia and South Africa.
Total poultry meat production will have escalated by some 5.2 million tonnes (4.7 per cent) since 2014 while that of the other main meats has hardly changed.
As a percentage of the total (excluding fish) poultry meat will account for some 36.2 per cent this year compared with 33.6 per cent back in 2010 when output just failed to reach 99 million tonnes.
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